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A survey commissioned by a PAC tied to Gov. Brian Sandoval finds good news for Speaker John Hambrick and bad news for the GOP Ass. Caucus/Citizen Outhouse wing of the Republican Party. The Nevada Jobs Coalition, which helped take the state Senate, commissioned the survey by the well-regarded Tarrance Group. The findings are devastating for the Just Say No Caucus. The poll memo, which is attached here, indicates Sandoval has an - wait for it -- 84 percent approval rating in Hambrick's district....
UPDATED, 2:45 PM: Now Her Honor has a new ad, with an endorsement from a former first lady.       After two days of early voting, if Las Vegas Councilman Stavros Anthony expected a high GOP turnout to fuel an upset, it's not happening. And while he has a couple of spots that have aired that could resonate, he regularly changes traffic, including to respond to Mayor Carolyn Goodman's ad about his naysaying. Her Honor also has a much larger buy than Anthony does -- by 4 to 1 a week. In Anthony's...
Welcome to the Weekly Report. This week: 1. My odds on the Democratic nominee in CD4 2.     My insiders on the BLF spectacle, and chances the majority leader gets it out of the Senate by April 1 3.    Odds of voter ID, campus carry, Assembly tax plan passing (and a lottery for grins and giggles) 4.    Smartest/dumbest moves As always, great stuff from my insiders. Some kudos (but not all, by any means) for Senate GOP on minimum wage play, but mixed reviews on BLF (although Roberson lauded for...
One day after he advocated for his tax plan, Gov. Brian Sandoval is under assault on Northern Nevada talk radio for "strong-arming" his plan and keeping it secret from voters during the campaign season. The ad, attached here, is paid for by Stop the Sandoval Tax PAC, registered Wednesday by Todd Bailey. Bailey likes to call himself "Todd Taxpayer" and has roamed the hallways in Carson City for years, once failing in a run for the Assembly. I called Bailey to see who is funding the effort -- the...
Assembly Republicans have crafted a tax plan that is a hybrid of the business licesne fee component used by the govervor and an expansion of the payroll tax plan sought by some business types, sources confirm. The plan is expected to drop Monday, the deadline for committee bill introductions. One GOP assemblyman told me the governor's plan has trouble because "I campaigned against gross receipts." That's ar eference to the governor's plan, based on businesses' gross receipts, and the teachers'...
And "Ralston Live" makes its debut in a political ad campaign, the race for Las Vegas mayor:
It happens every year -- thousands of voters knocked off the active rolls in Clark County because they have not cast ballots in several cycles and cannot be found. It usually disproportionately hurts the Democrats, who have more transient voters -- and this month is no different: At the end of February, Democrats had a 109,000-vote edge in Nevada's most populous county; as of today, it's about 101,000. That's because the GOP lost only 13,500 voters in the so-called purge while the Democrats...
I have been calling it the Business License Tax since it was released by the governor. Why? 1. Because it is a tax. 2. Because BLT is acronymically funnier. Now tax maven Carole Vilardo has revealed she agrees at the top of a line-by-line explanation of the tax bill that will have its first hearing Wednesday: Please note: This “fee” does not fit the definition of a fee. Because the revenue is used to fund general government expenses, it is a tax. It will be referred to in this document as a tax...
Welcome to the Weekly Report. This week: 1.     The truth about Tesla’s big project – slowdown or not? 2.    Third-of-session grades 3.     The BLF cometh 4.     Smartest/dumbest moves   Mixed grades from my insiders on lawmakers one-third of the way through. Like a slow-starting or fast-starting student, the last two-thirds and especially the final can flip a semester grade, so it is early. But some instructive stuff below on how they are being perceived so far. My grades: Roberson: A-minus....

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